Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 15.944110 18.581559 21.470859 24.864429 28.734257 33.002614 38.059860
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 12.241548 16.004944 20.557929 26.438199 33.794329 42.652427 54.082285
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 10.309039 14.743695 20.535852 28.574858 39.349193 53.183857 72.166338
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 8.397079 12.979432 19.370843 28.798215 42.180440 60.295392 86.423334
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 6.841618 11.343487 18.002932 28.368733 43.840162 65.760101 98.754985
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.568008 9.856366 16.554925 27.508271 44.616645 69.867188 109.345431
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.743650 8.913301 15.755242 27.447785 46.461581 75.550773 122.560839
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.128149 8.201332 15.197434 27.648350 48.652366 81.846778 137.108697
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.332443 7.022646 13.672636 26.018152 47.648635 82.989113 143.629876
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.039532 6.726491 13.638731 26.921742 50.920775 91.194950 161.993975
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.850956 6.599936 13.887718 28.338808 55.182576 101.326264 184.215559
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.445536 5.957308 13.067658 27.669339 55.639523 105.009308 195.819929
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.999798 5.168934 11.894530 26.271395 54.790335 106.656400 204.631446
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.895120 5.134187 12.267716 28.002418 60.073010 119.758881 234.831522
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.838444 5.202382 12.868138 30.269002 66.621210 135.701639 271.359352
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.634028 4.865686 12.528156 30.507650 69.147174 144.344005 295.133509
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.413203 4.438074 11.911519 30.055905 70.194695 150.223359 314.133671
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.199276 3.978987 11.142720 29.149500 70.166194 153.959111 329.250242
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.060168 3.698557 10.763449 29.085796 71.928071 161.366066 352.008531
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.951713 3.483686 10.515049 29.297123 74.307144 170.190852 378.171549
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.777882 3.021639 9.537268 27.579268 72.121017 169.346169 384.695432
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.727948 2.950323 9.611786 28.531512 76.224064 182.109902 420.076157
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.700133 2.948362 9.881749 30.024550 81.748900 198.324438 463.695007